Forecasting Models of Natural Gas

نویسندگان
چکیده

منابع مشابه

Forecasting Natural Gas Demand Using Meteorological Data: Neural Network Method

The need for prediction and patterns of gas consumption especially in the cold seasons is essential for consumption management and policy planning decision making. In residential and commercial uses which account for the bulk of gas consumption in the country the effects of meteorological variables have the highest impact on consumption.  In the present research four variables include daily ave...

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Forecasting Performance of Fundamental Natural Gas Price Models, Hedging Strategies, and the Average Cost of Gas: a Study of the U.s. Natural Gas Market

We propose and estimate fundamental models for natural gas prices. We compare how well these models, as well as univariate statistical time series models of NG prices and the NYMEX futures price for natural gas, forecast spot gas prices. We find that a univariate time series model that incorporates fundamental variables related to production, storage, weather, and aggregate output performs best...

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The Forecasting of Iran Natural Gas Consumption Based On Neural-Fuzzy System Until 2020

In this paper, an Adaptive-Network-based Fuzzy Inference System (ANFIS) is used for forecasting of natural gas consumption. It is clear that natural gas consumption prediction for future, surly can help Statesmen to decide more certain. There are many variables which effect on gas consumption but two variables that named Gross Domestic Product (GDP) and population, are selected as two input var...

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Study of Growth Kinetic Models of a Methanotroph Bacterium Growing on Natural Gas

Kinetics of single cell protein production from natural gas by a microorganism (a Methylomonas sp.) was studied experimentally and by modeling at equal amount of air and natural gas. Kinetic models of Monod, Moser, Teissier, Aiba, Andrews, and Noack were used for illustrating cell growth. Methane and oxygen were considered as limited substrates with concentration in the range 2-10 mg/lit. Death...

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Natural Gas Price Forecasting using Kriging Interpolation Technique and Neldar-Mead Optimization Algorithm

The prediction of economic series with high volatility and high uncertainty - such as natural gas prices - is always a challenge in econometric models, because the use of traditional linear modeling models does not allow us to predict complex and nonlinear time series. Regarding the prediction of natural gas prices,  findings point to superiority of the neural network compared to regression mod...

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ژورنال

عنوان ژورنال: International Journal of Scientific Research in Science and Technology

سال: 2021

ISSN: 2395-602X,2395-6011

DOI: 10.32628/ijsrst218375